Panels lose a little output every year. Australian buyers should read degradation curves beside performance warranties — and remember that heat, shade, and soiling often move the needle more than laboratory wear in early years.

Long-serving rooftop array — year-15 yield depends on degradation, uptime, and whether the inverter kept pace.

What manufacturers usually promise

Many modules specify a first-year drop then an annual maximum degradation, landing around a guaranteed percentage of original output at year 25. That is a floor for claims, not a prediction of your exact roof.

Year bandWhat to watchOwner action
0–2Install quality, early failuresMonitoring baselines
3–8Soiling, shade growth, FIT changesHabit and tariff retunes
9–15Inverter age, connector wearService plan; extension decisions
15+Performance vs warranty curveEvidence pack if claiming
  • Store the performance warranty PDF with serials
  • Avoid mixing unmatched old and new modules carelessly
  • Treat sudden drops as faults, not “age”
  • Budget inverter replacement inside the panel life

Slow degradation is expected; sudden silence is a fault.

When replacement beats endurance

If an inverter and optimisers need work and the roof needs sheeting, a redesign may beat patching a tired array. Run the numbers; nostalgia is not a yield strategy.

Resale storytelling

Buyers like monitoring histories. Fifteen years of tidy data supports price better than a verbal “it still works.”